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[Global NK Commentary] North Korea: Outcomes and Implications

  • 2019-11-12
[Commentary 21]

North Korea:
Outcomes and Implications

Tom Phuong Le

Assistant Professor of politics at Pomona College

NEWS MAIN IMAGE

"The threats posed by North Korea go far beyond the nuclear issue"

Despite the continuing efforts to resolve the North Korean problem, with
the second US-North Korea summit and the working-level meeting in
Stockholm, there have been no signs that a resolution is near, and North
Korea remains a threat to the international community. Assistant
professor Tom Phuong Le of Pomona College goes beyond the threat
posed by North Korea’s nuclear program, discussing other dangers such
as the potential for horizontal proliferation, cyberattacks, and the
imminent humanitarian crisis which will occur when the state ultimately
fails. Professor Le explores the possible outcomes of the North Korean
situation, however it ends up. He places a strong focus on the inevitable
consequences of state failure, explaining "North Korea has acquired
nuclear weapons. The next great threat will be mass migration." He
discusses the impact that such migration would have on East Asia as a
whole, stating "North Koreans are less likely to find a state willing to
take them in by the hundreds of thousands because decades of
condemnation have sowed distrust at best and apathy at worst among
the region’s stakeholders." Finally, Professor Le talks about North Korea
as a unifying factor in East Asian international relations, predicting what
implications the disappearance of the regime as a common enemy will
have for East Asian relations going forward.  [Read Commentary]


Read More Commentaries
[Commentary 20] The Trend of Strengthened UNC and its Role After the Transition of Wartime Operational Control
[Commentary 19] The Trump Risk and US-North Korea Nuclear Talks
[Commentary 18] The New Policies of Abe’s Cabinet Towards the Korean Peninsula: Background and South Korea’s Position
[Commentary 17] No Way Out?: US-North Korea Denuclearization Negotiations
[Commentary 16] The Impact of the Abrogation of the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty on the Strategic Situation in Northeast Asia
the East Asia Institute           Unikorea Foundation