Knowledge-Net for a Better World |
October 2019 |
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[Global NK Commentary] The Trump Risk and US-North Korea Nuclear Talks
"Impeachment inquiry into President Trump, how will it affect future US-North Korea denuclearization talks?"
In the past few days, there has been various media coverage on the House Democrats’ formal
impeachment inquiry into President Donald Trump. This impeachment inquiry also raises
questions about the future of US-North Korea denuclearization talks. Professor Myung-Koo
Kang of Baruch College at City University of New York discusses three different scenarios:
big-deal, interim deal, and no-deal. In evaluating the three scenarios, he suggests that an
interim deal is more realistic than a big-deal, which "appears to already be dead." Yet "from
the perspective of US domestic politics, no deal appears to be the most likely outcome by
the end of this year". Hence, Professor Kang proposes that we need to be better prepared for
a no deal scenario as well as for "North Korea’s resumption of nuclear and ICBM and SLBM
tests in the coming year." 
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