[Global NK Commentary] The Future of U.S.-North Korea Relations After the 2022 U.S. Midterm Elections |
Jungkun Seo, Professor at Kyung Hee University, claims that with the results of the midterm elections in favor of Biden and the Democrats, Biden would likely run for re-election. He expects that Washington will not pursue any innovative policy toward Pyongyang as Biden would have no choice but to take a hardline stance ahead of the 2024 election amid intensifying provocations of North Korea. In this regard, Professor Seo predicts that it will be challenging for the U.S. to find a new breakthrough to the stalled peace process on the Korean Peninsula. |
[Global NK Commentary] Foreign Policy Recharged After Defusing MAGA: Biden’s Indo-Pacific Strategy and the Korean Peninsula |
Byoung Kwon Sohn, Professor at Chung-Ang University, predicts that the Biden administration will likely stick to its stance on foreign policy, with the Senate secure in Democratic hands and the inter-party House seat margin found to be smaller than expected. Encountering the recent escalation in North Korea, he claims that Washington will keep the Korea-U.S.-Japan trilateral security cooperation in place and strengthen its commitment to extended deterrence to its two Asian allies. Professor Sohn also highlights that the United States will continue to pursue its current Indo-Pacific strategy to contain Chinese influence in the region while attempting to maintain the status quo in the Taiwan Strait. |
[Global NK Commentary] Global Health Diplomacy as a Path to De-escalatory Engagement with North Korea |
Andrew Ikhyun Kim, White House Fellow at the Office of Management and Budget, suggests global health diplomacy as a conceptual framework to bring North Korea back to the negotiating table and de-escalate the situation. In specific, he proposes a health aid package engaging North Korea in the long term, which is owned, driven, co-financed by North Korea, and coordinated with strategically lifting sanctions without precondition. He highlights that even if these do not come to fruition in the short term, aid efforts would still have the potential to build trust, lay the groundwork for future engagement, and alleviate the dire health needs of North Korean people. |
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